Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Trindon Holliday
Trindon Holliday

Player breakdown

Trindon Holliday

LSU · 2010 Draft Class

5-5166 lbs6th round, 197th overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~40
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

35%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2012DEN10022178.501.7
2013DEN150000000
Career25022178.500.7
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2007LSUSEC132301.50.2
2008LSUSEC13233016.52.5
2009LSUSEC133360122.8
Career39772010.31.8

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

34%

ML model output

Context Prob

43%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 31% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.200
Recruit dominator synergy+0.563
0.2 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.278

Top Negative Factors

-49.5 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.754
Improvement accelerating (+11.0) — getting better faster each year-0.471
0.00 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.465

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)