Player breakdown
Trond Grizzell
California · 2026 Draft Class
6-4205 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~21
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
17%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | California | Pac-12 | 13 | 39 | 590 | 5 | 15.1 | 45.4 |
| 2024 | California | ACC | 12 | 27 | 401 | 1 | 14.9 | 33.4 |
| 2025 | California | ACC | 13 | 55 | 788 | 1 | 14.3 | 60.6 |
| Career | 38 | 121 | 1,779 | 7 | 14.7 | 46.8 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
16%
ML model output
Context Prob
30%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 26% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.134
Recruit dominator synergy+0.359
Team averaged 0.0 pass attempts/game — run-heavy offensive system+0.193
Top Negative Factors
-9.2 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.723
0.18 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.469
Accounted for 0.00 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.386