Player breakdown
Ty Montgomery
Stanford · 2015 Draft Class
6-0221 lbs3rd round, 94th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~33
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
24%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | GNB | 6 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 136 | 9.1 | 2 | 22.7 |
| 2018 | 2TM | 13 | 0 | 40 | 25 | 235 | 9.4 | 0 | 18.1 |
| 2018 | GNB | 7 | 0 | 23 | 15 | 170 | 11.3 | 0 | 24.3 |
| 2018 | BAL | 6 | 0 | 17 | 10 | 65 | 6.5 | 0 | 10.8 |
| 2019 | NYJ | 16 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 5.6 |
| 2020 | NOR | 6 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 4.5 |
| 2021 | NOR | 14 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 95 | 5.9 | 0 | 6.8 |
| 2022 | NWE | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 15 |
| Career | 69 | 9 | 152 | 100 | 833 | 8.3 | 3 | 12.1 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 13 | 24 | 350 | 2 | 14.6 | 26.9 |
| 2012 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 11 | 26 | 213 | 0 | 8.2 | 19.4 |
| 2013 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 14 | 61 | 958 | 10 | 15.7 | 68.4 |
| 2014 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 11 | 61 | 604 | 3 | 9.9 | 54.9 |
| Career | 49 | 172 | 2,125 | 15 | 12.4 | 43.4 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
19%
ML model output
Context Prob
48%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 10% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.112
Accounted for 3.08 yards per team pass attempt — alpha receiver share+0.212
Scout dominator depth synergy+0.211
Top Negative Factors
-13.6 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.722
0.31 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.383
Recruit dominator synergy-0.327