Player breakdown
Tychaun Chapman
Southern Mississippi · 2026 Draft Class
5-9172 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~21
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
12%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | North Carolina | ACC | 12 | 7 | 135 | 1 | 19.3 | 11.3 |
| 2024 | Marshall | Sun Belt | 12 | 17 | 146 | 1 | 8.6 | 12.2 |
| 2025 | Southern Mississippi | Sun Belt | 13 | 25 | 448 | 3 | 17.9 | 34.5 |
| Career | 37 | 49 | 729 | 5 | 14.9 | 19.7 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
9%
ML model output
Context Prob
30%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit dominator synergy+0.474
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.286
Class YPR rank: top 6% — elite per-target efficiency+0.247
Top Negative Factors
-17.7 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.748
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.504
Improvement accelerating (+2.3) — getting better faster each year-0.488