Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Tyler King
Tyler King

Player breakdown

Tyler King

New Mexico State · 2026 Draft Class

5-10160 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~27
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

10%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2017MarshallCUSA11129708.18.8
2018MarshallCUSA874306.15.4
2019MarshallCUSA24280714
2022Texas TechBig 12116066
2024WyomingMWC1017236013.923.6
2025New Mexico StateCUSA841588314.373.5
Career4082998312.224.9

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

9%

ML model output

Context Prob

30%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Recruit dominator synergy+0.456
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.230
Team averaged 0.0 pass attempts/game — run-heavy offensive system+0.184

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.594
Improvement accelerating (+97.0) — getting better faster each year-0.559
Accounted for 0.00 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.369

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)