Player breakdown
Tyler Scott
Cincinnati · 2023 Draft Class
5-10177 lbs4th round, 133rd overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~24
MediumDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
50%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | CHI | 17 | 4 | 32 | 17 | 168 | 9.9 | 0 | 9.9 |
| 2024 | CHI | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0.5 |
| Career | 28 | 4 | 33 | 18 | 173 | 9.6 | 0 | 6.2 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 8 |
| 2014 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 9 | 1.8 |
| 2015 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 1.2 |
| 2020 | Cincinnati | American | 10 | 3 | 20 | 0 | 6.7 | 2 |
| 2021 | Cincinnati | American | 14 | 30 | 520 | 5 | 17.3 | 37.1 |
| 2022 | Cincinnati | American | 11 | 54 | 899 | 9 | 16.6 | 81.7 |
| Career | 52 | 91 | 1,472 | 14 | 16.2 | 28.3 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
41%
ML model output
Context Prob
60%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
4
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 11% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.251
2.0 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.290
Class YPR rank: top 13% — elite per-target efficiency+0.243
Top Negative Factors
-11.1 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.763
Physical production synergy-0.557
Improvement accelerating (+44.0) — getting better faster each year-0.484