Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Tyquan Thornton
Tyquan Thornton

Player breakdown

Tyquan Thornton

Baylor · 2022 Draft Class

6-2181 lbs2nd round, 50th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~25
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

24%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2022NWE139452224711.2219
2023NWE932313917010.1
2024NWE61844711.807.8
2025KAN144371943823.1331.3
Career42171135882314.2519.6
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2018BaylorBig 121320354317.727.2
2019BaylorBig 121445782517.455.9
2020BaylorBig 1261615819.926.3
2021BaylorBig 1214629481015.367.7
Career471432,2421915.747.7

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

16%

ML model output

Context Prob

64%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

2

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 10% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+0.894
Physical production synergy+0.462
BMI 23.2 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (181 lbs)+0.234

Top Negative Factors

-4.5 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.745
Efficiency consistency: 1.13 — highly consistent across seasons-0.316
0.40 TDs/game — reliable scoring role in college-0.294

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)