Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Tyson Davis
Tyson Davis

Player breakdown

Tyson Davis

Central Michigan · 2026 Draft Class

5-10175 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~22
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

11%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2022Central MichiganMAC535411810.8
2023Central MichiganMAC1029444415.344.4
2025Central MichiganMAC1325323212.924.8
Career2857821714.429.3

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

5%

ML model output

Context Prob

46%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Recruit dominator synergy+0.487
Class YPR rank: top 17% — elite per-target efficiency+0.259
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 1.05x — route-running independent of system+0.188

Top Negative Factors

+1.7 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.757
Improvement accelerating (+7.2) — getting better faster each year-0.580
0.25 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.468

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)