Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Vince Mayle
Vince Mayle

Player breakdown

Vince Mayle

Washington St. · 2015 Draft Class

6-2224 lbs4th round, 123rd overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~35
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

10%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2015DAL10100000
2017BAL160100000
Career1702000.000.0
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2013Washington StatePac-121142539712.849
2014Washington StatePac-12121061,483914123.6
Career231482,0221613.787.9

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

2%

ML model output

Context Prob

55%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Recruit dominator synergy+0.282
BMI 28.8 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (224 lbs)+0.205
Speed × production: 139.7 — elite combined athletic output+0.175

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.762
Accounted for 1.92 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.394
Physical production synergy-0.335

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)