Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Wesley Grimes
Wesley Grimes

Player breakdown

Wesley Grimes

North Carolina State · 2026 Draft Class

6-2193 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~22
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: $2.7M
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

11%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2022Wake ForestACC643318.35.5
2023Wake ForestACC122033941728.3
2024North Carolina StateACC1324319113.324.5
2025North Carolina StateACC1229430314.835.8
Career43771,121914.626.1

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

7%

ML model output

Context Prob

38%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 21% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.159
Recruit dominator synergy+0.318
Team averaged 0.0 pass attempts/game — run-heavy offensive system+0.188

Top Negative Factors

-24.5 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.733
Improvement accelerating (+12.0) — getting better faster each year-0.571
0.16 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.454

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)