
Player breakdown
Wesley Grimes
North Carolina State · 2026 Draft Class
6-2193 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~22
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: $2.7M
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
11%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Wake Forest | ACC | 6 | 4 | 33 | 1 | 8.3 | 5.5 |
| 2023 | Wake Forest | ACC | 12 | 20 | 339 | 4 | 17 | 28.3 |
| 2024 | North Carolina State | ACC | 13 | 24 | 319 | 1 | 13.3 | 24.5 |
| 2025 | North Carolina State | ACC | 12 | 29 | 430 | 3 | 14.8 | 35.8 |
| Career | 43 | 77 | 1,121 | 9 | 14.6 | 26.1 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
7%
ML model output
Context Prob
38%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 21% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.159
Recruit dominator synergy+0.318
Team averaged 0.0 pass attempts/game — run-heavy offensive system+0.188
Top Negative Factors
-24.5 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.733
Improvement accelerating (+12.0) — getting better faster each year-0.571
0.16 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.454